GARDNER REACHES OUT TO EXPLAIN RED-GREY-RED RUN-AROUND

Mark Clairmont | MuskokaTODAY.com

SIMCOE-MUSOKA — Dr. Charles Gardner is taking the blame for the the province’s red-grey-red run-around.

He says they are “in keeping with recommendations I provided to (Ontario’s) Chief Medical Officer of Health, Dr. David Williams.”

In a letter “to the people whose work and businesses were affected by the lockdown in Simcoe Muskoka,” he says this afternoon that the decision “is based on information that our overall incidence of COVID-19 has remained stable over the past two weeks despite the rise in the B.1.1.7 (UK) variant.”

He said: “It is important to remember that with large numbers of the B.1.1.7 variant cases in Simcoe Muskoka, and with the rise in Variants of Concern (VOCs) throughout the province, we may see an increase in the incidence of COVID-19 in the weeks to come, and the potential need for further protective measures in the future.”

It was nothing he hadn’t already said earlier this week, but the Simcoe Muskoka District Health Unit (SMDHU) medical officer of health noted in the release that there is “potential for a third wave in Ontario” due to VOCs has been noted by the Ontario COVID-19 Science Advisory Table to be significant.

“As such,” he said, “it is of critical importance that we be diligent in maintaining our public health measures.”

And he will “continue to monitor very closely our local situation, and early next week I will be bringing forward additional infection prevention and control measures to reduce transmission risk in workplaces and in the community.”

He went on to say the region has “a very large number of cases and outbreaks of the B.1.1.7 UK variant that started with three outbreaks in January that were followed by rapid spread throughout Simcoe County (including in Barrie) and Muskoka.”

Among them he said were workplaces such as restaurants, a personal service setting, offices, manufacturing and an agricultural. As well as a long-term care facilities, a childcare centre, a school and an apartment complex.

In his defence he added there have also been a “large and growing number of cases” in the community that are unattached to outbreaks.

“We have the highest number of the variants of concern cases in Ontario.

“In continuing to relay the basis upon which recent recommendations where made, I wish to reiterate that early in the week of Feb. 21, I became concerned as a result of the 30% increase in Simcoe Muskoka’s overall COVID-19 case count in the previous week (210 cases the week of Feb. 7 to 275 cases the week of Feb. 14), including a doubling of the weekly case count in Barrie, coinciding with the continued spread of the B.1.1.7 variant in our communities.

He said: “On this basis, I recommended to the province that Simcoe Muskoka be moved into Grey-Lockdown in order to help reduce the spread of the B.1.1.7 variant and COVID-19 overall, with the recognition that early control actions are more effective than later ones.

“I did so even though the overall case count for COVID-19 was only moderately elevated above the threshold for the Red-Control zone, as the province’s Framework does not take into account the potential impact of the UK variant.”

He said since then, he said the health unit has continued to monitor the data on COVID-19 cases, and found some reduction in the overall daily incidence in the latter part of last week and stabilization of the overall incidence of cases through this week (Feb. 28 to March 5.

But the MOH said there have been additional UK variant outbreaks in workplaces and additional cases in our communities.

“I wish to thank those who have reached out to me and provide me with their insights.”

He said concerns raised included impacts of the lockdown on businesses, income, health and mental health, and access to services.

“I regret the difficulty that is caused by our response to the pandemic, even as we strive to reduce the illness and the deaths that occur from this tragic pandemic. The pandemic has been extremely difficult on us all.”

In an optimistic conclusion, Gardner said: “I would like to cite the great potential to bring the pandemic under control with immunization. At present we have immunized the residents of all of our long-term care facilities and retirement homes, and this is resulting in a great reduction in transmission and deaths among the most vulnerable members of our communities.

“As we move forward with bringing vaccination to all adults and we continue with case and contact management and observing public heath measures, I am confident that we will bring the pandemic under control.”

Dr. Charles Gardner says this week he’s less concerned about rising COVID and VOC cases than he was early last week, thus his recommendation to return to return to the province’s red-control framework.

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